Bryansk, Bryansk, Russian Federation
The examination for the estimate of the environment effect upon a regional social-economic system for the formation of a knowledge base of a corresponding information system is a sequence of separate procedures. Expert assessments are processed in the corresponding information system (CIS). In the paper there is shown an algorithm for a computation of an expert weight at the formation of a knowledge base of a corresponding information system, and also a mathematical apparatus of expert response processing is presented. The author’s experience in the application of the expert assessment method in the estimate of the presence both a connection force between environment, and a regional social-economic system. For the assessment of the effect force as a mathematical apparatus the theory of a fuzzy set was used. The expert response processing has shown that 487 variants of connections under analysis can be divided into groups of a strong, medium and weal effect taking into account their belonging to the groups Sm . The computation of the concordance factor W and checkup for the expert response co-ordination of this stage of the examination have shown a high degree of coordination of expert opinions. The amount of 445 connections obtained as a result of the examination characterizing a strong and medium influence of environment upon a regional social-economic system were loaded into a knowledge base of CIS as the most sig-nificant ones. The CIS processes and analyzes exami-nation results after which it offers the selection of concrete measures of a management type allowing either increasing, or grading their influence depending on the context. Therefore, the developed CIS increases the efficiency of processing and analysis of expert assessments, which on the whole ensures effective decisionmaking by managers and specialists.
examination, social-economic system, knowledge base, corresponding information system
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