graduate student
, Russian Federation
The article clearly shows the importance of using statistical forecasts to model situations in the development of trade and economic relations on the example of Iraq and Russia. It is hypothesized that statistical forecasts are more reliable when supplemented with factor and regression analysis. This hypothesis is demonstrated in the construction of forecasts of the values of exports and imports between Russia and Iraq for 2021-2022. The forecast values are found taking into account the influence of various factors: the rate of production, the standard of living of the population, the exchange rate, GDP, etc. As a result, the forecast values of the development of trade and economic relations between the countries are obtained and measures to adjust mutual cooperation are proposed.
Russia and Iraq, foreign trade of Russia and Iraq, international relations of Russia and Iraq, statistical forecast, factor analysis
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