VAK Russia 5.1.4 UDC 34

MEDIUM-TERM DEVELOPMENT FORECAST CRIMINAL SITUATION AFTER 2025 FOR A FIVE-YEAR PERIOD

Published в VESTNIK ADVANCED TRAINING INSTITUTE OF THE MIA OF RUSSIA · Issue № 4, 2025 · Pages 38–44 · Rubrics: CRIMINAL LEGAL SCIENCES
DOI 10.29039/2312-7937-2024-4-38-44 EDN hdcwam
Received: 03.02.2025 Accepted: 06.02.2025 Published: 06.02.2025
Authors
1 The Institute of Legislation and Comparative Law under the Government of the Russian Federation (veduschiy nauchnyy sotrudnik)
Netherlands
2 FGBOU VO "RGUTIS" (Vysshaya shkola biznesa, menedzhmenta i prava, professor)
from 01.09.2015 until now Russian Federation
The article examines the medium-term crime forecast in the Russian Federation after 2025 for a five-year period. Two variant crime forecasts are analyzed in detail, namely, a more favorable option and a less favorable option. The results of the crime situation development forecast for 2025 will allow more effective comprehensive preventive work in the country.
crime forecast latency level number of registered crimes crime rate typology statistical homogeneity of typology objects statistical indicators analytical model
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References

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