In professional education, in recent years, tools of strategic management have become widely used. It is possible to increase the objectivity of strategic decisions and goals, using the methods of scenario analysis. Setting goals for diff erent developments helps to reduce strategic uncertainty and increase the opportunity for the implementation of the scenario. The process of developing scenarios leads to a higher preparedness of the leadership for this or that turn of events. The scenario analysis method has an exceptional ability to describe a number of possibilities and to detail them, which will allow studying future events directly aff ecting the organization. Scenario analysis has the listed advantages of identifying factors that contribute to the study of the potential outcomes of a strategy, allowing foreseeing and evaluating the results of strategic actions under all assumed conditions.
the method of scenario analysis, strategic management, professional educational organization, mental model.
В ст. 68 Федерального закона «Об образовании в Российской Федерации» определены задачи среднего профессионального образования: «Среднее профессиональное образование направлено на решение задач интеллектуального, культурного и профессионального развития человека и имеет целью подготовку квалифицированных рабочих или служащих и специалистов среднего звена по всем основным направлениям общественно полезной деятельности в соответствии с потребностями общества и государства, а также удовлетворение потребностей личности в углублении и расширении образования».
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