employee
Tula, Tula, Russian Federation
Tula, Tula, Russian Federation
The purpose of the work was to assess the trends in the formation of human capi-tal in Russia by the education system. Trends in returns to education in contemporary Russia assessed by constructing econometric models of education premiums. We used data from the Russian Monitoring of the Health and Economic Situation of the Popula-tion (HSE RLMS) and data from the Survey of Wages by Occupation (OSS) of Rosstat. The obtained characteristics of the models showed that the main trend of change is a decrease in the level of return from higher, secondary vocational and secondary (full) education. Forecasting carried out using the characteristics of the obtained models. It has been established that secondary vocational and secondary (general) education will cease to bring any return, will cease to form the human capital of modern Russia in 2022-2024, higher education will cease to bring any return, will cease to form human capital modern Russia in 2040-2050. The problem of the education system losing the function of forming human capital is due to the problems of economics and education management.
human capital, education levels, education premium, forecasts, econometric models
1. Naskol'ko bogata Rossiya? Kompleksnaya ocenka bogatstva Rossii s 2000 po 2017 gody. Vsemirnyy bank. URL: https://www.vsemirnyjbank.org/ru/country/russia/publication/how-wealthy-is-russia
2. Bailey D., Schotta C. Private and social rates of return to education of academicians // American Economic Review. 1972. Vol.62. No.1/2. pp. 19–31.
3. Becker Gary S. Human Capital: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis, with Special Reference to Education. 3 rd. Edition. University Of Chicago Press, 1994. 244 pp.
4. Schultz T. Capital formation by education // Journal of Political Economy. 1960, 68 (6), 571–583.
5. Schultz T. W. Investment in human capital // American Economic Review. 1961. Vol.51. No.1. pp. 1–17.
6. Gillis D. Public education as a high-yield investment: the theory of human capital in the discourse of European politics // Pedagogical Journal. 2011. 2 (2), 224-245.
7. Gillis D. Human Capital Theory in Education. In: Peters M. (ed.) Encyclopedia of Pedagogical Philosophy and Theory. Springer, Singapore. 2015. URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-287-532-7_254-1
8. Basovskiy L.E., Basovskaya E.N. Postindustrial'nye uklady v ekonomike Rossii. M.: INFRA-M, 2017. 159 s.
9. North D.C. Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance. Cam-bridge University Press, 1990.
10. Basovskiy L.E., Basovskaya E.N. Razvitie v Rossii ekonomiki neravenstva // Zhurnal ekonomicheskoy teorii. 2011. № 4. S. 198-202.
11. Kapelyushnikov R.I. Otdacha ot obrazovaniya v Rossii: nizhe nekuda? Preprint WP3/2021/03/ Nac. issled. un-t «Vysshaya shkola ekonomiki». M.: Izd. dom Vysshey shkoly ekonomiki, 2021. 52 s.
12. Reyting stran mira po urovnyu rashodov na obrazovanie // Gumanitarnyy portal. URL: https://gtmarket.ru/ratings/global-education-expenditure
13. Tennent K.D. The Age of Strategy: From Drucker and Design to Planning and Por-ter. In: Bowden B., Muldoon J., Gould A., McMurray A. (eds) The Palgrave Hand-book of Management History. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. 2020. URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-62348-1_36-1
14. Peters T. Re-Imagine! Business Excellence in a Disruptive Age. Published March, 2006. 352 p.
15. Seddon J. Freedom from Command & Control. Rethinking Management for Lean Service. New York: Productivity Press, 2005. 232 p.
